Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Sectional
2003 - 2004 - 2005



These are rankings of individuals and teams that run in this sectional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.



RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
Braxton Fritz 12 Northridge 16:05 #16  
Jaurice Dye 10 Elkhart Memorial 16:07 #20  
Ken Collins 12 Northridge 16:16 #33  
Brett Mravec 12 Elkhart Memorial 16:23 #41  
Bryce Matteson 12 Elkhart Memorial 16:28 #50  
Loren Spirito 10 Northridge 16:33 #63  
Ladd Mercer 9 Northridge 16:42 #97  
Andy Williams 11 Northridge 16:44 #104  
RankNameRatingState Rank
Northridge 232 #2  
Elkhart Memorial 299 #11  



Sectional Simulation




Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



SchoolAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Northridge 1.2 26 15 45 80.3 19.7
Elkhart Memorial 1.8 34 19 48 19.7 80.3


RunnerSchoolRatingAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Braxton Fritz Northridge 16:05 1.0 49.9 31.8 11.2 5.4 1.7 0.1 0.1
Jaurice Dye Elkhart Memorial 16:07 1.2 44.5 28.7 19.0 5.2 2.0 0.5 0.3
Ken Collins Northridge 16:16 2.6 4.5 24.9 34.5 17.3 16.4 2.3 0.2 0.1
Brett Mravec Elkhart Memorial 16:23 3.6 0.9 10.6 19.5 30.2 19.7 9.7 5.5 3.5 0.7
Bryce Matteson Elkhart Memorial 16:28 4.6 0.3 3.3 9.4 20.0 28.0 16.7 9.9 8.2 4.0 0.4 0.1
Loren Spirito Northridge 16:33 5.4 0.1 0.6 4.5 14.8 17.1 33.7 19.6 6.9 2.4 0.4 0.2
Ladd Mercer Northridge 16:42 7.0 0.9 2.8 6.9 13.3 26.8 29.3 16.4 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.1
Andy Williams Northridge 16:44 7.3 0.3 2.1 3.9 11.0 22.5 31.6 23.0 4.3 1.0 0.4 0.1